DAX - Close to short-term exhaustion?

DAX - Minor top near 13,029 expected

DAX - Minor top near 13,029 expected

DAX - Close to short-term exhaustion? 

The German DAX posted a new all-time high yesterday at 12,976. This is in line with the expectation of a final rally closer to the resistance cluster-area between 13,424 - 13,435. 

Short-term, the rally from 12,044 looks stretch and is expected to run into a temperary to near 13,029 in wave iii for a correction in wave iv towards 12,797 and the a final impulsive rally into the 13,424 - 13,435 area to complete the impulsive rally, not only, from the February 2016 low at 8,695, but also from the March 2009 low at 3,589. 

Once this impulsive rally is complete a larger corrective decline should be expected, but for now, we need to stay focused towards the upside and the important 13,424 - 13,435 area. 

I would like to add one word of caution. We are in the final stages of the rally from for March 2009 and once the top is in place a larger correction towards at least 8,700 should be expected. This means that from the current level of 12,955 a potential profit of close to 4% is avalable, but the potential downside risk is close to 33% or almost a 10 to 1 risk/reward. 

 

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JT
2014-06-23
Its been a pleasure over the years I have been following you and even better as a member the education you provide in my view is invaluable you can read books as I have but to see how you evolve your ...
Felipe
2014-05-26
Hi,

I recently tried a 30 day membership and I am very happy with the service. Pls keep up the great work!!! I will continue renewing!!

Felipe
Tommy
2015-02-26
Great call on nat gas

Just wanted to drop you a note to say great call on nat gas as it held 2.67

Great job.

Tommy